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blana
Matrosen-Gefreiter
Joined: 08 May 2019
Location: United Kingdom
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Posts: 22
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| Posted: 08 May 2019 at 13:07 | IP Logged
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Strategy game for totalizator - correct score
The "Exact account" tote is a typical phenomenon for domestic bookmakers. The minimum bet in such a sweepstakes is usually lower than in the usual "tag",
so the bettors play in it. For example, in BC 1xBet the minimum bet in the "Exact account" sweepstakes is only 5 rubles, while in the usual sweepstakes it
is 50 rubles. In Bq Marathon bet on "correct score" is also below (20 cents versus 50 cents in the "fifteen").
This state of Affairs suits bettors, but according to the theory of probability, it is more difficult to win the jackpot and in General to get to the
number of winners in the sweepstakes "Exact score" than in the "tag", but bettors guess about this only when a lot of money has already been lost.
The essence of the strategy
As you know, bookmakers Pin-Up in most games correctly calculate quotes. Win they get just because lay in the ratios
margin. In the sweepstakes, the source of income for bookmakers is completely different than in the usual line. They take 10-15% of the total pool, and the
rest of the money is distributed among the winning categories. It is in the sweepstakes that bookmakers do not make any sense to play against players, they
will receive their income in any situation.
Players often overestimate favorites and bet on the score 2:0, 3:0 in those matches where the most likely score is 1:0. This is a typical situation for
sweepstakes and bookmakers do not care about it.
You can play on the fact that some teams are underestimated. Since bookmakers usually calculate quotes correctly, it is very easy to find out which account
in the game is the most likely. To do this, you need to find a match from the sweepstakes in the bookmaker's line and see which account the bookmaker gives
the lowest coefficient.
By betting on the results with the lowest odds, you will have an advantage over other players in the event that the participants of the draw will
distribute their bets not as the bookmaker expected. Such situations occur in every second edition.
Example
Take the last edition of the bookmaker 1xBet. We will not look, we would have won it, playing on such a simple theory, as the result will not give
anything. It takes a considerable distance of bets to talk about the profitability or loss-making strategy. Let's look only at how the distribution of the
pool differs from the real chances of a particular outcome (excluding bets on "any other" account).
Hull city – Manchester United. Most players bet 0:2, in reality the results 0:1 and 0:2 had the best chance of success.
Chelsea – Burnley. The majority is 0:1. The most likely score is 2:0.
Watford – Arsenal. The majority is 0:2. The most likely score is 0:1.
Lester Swansea. The majority is 0:1. The most likely score is 1:0.
Dortmund – Mainz. The majority is 0:0. The most likely score is 2:0.
Lazio – Juventus. The majority is 2:0. The most likely score is 1:1 and 0:1.
Real Madrid – Celta. The majority is 0:0. The most likely score is 2:0.
Zenit – Amkar Perm. The majority is 0:1. The most likely score is 1:0.
As you can see, in 7 cases out of 8 the pool was distributed in the way that is beneficial to us. And if we take into account the fact that in 5 cases out
of 8, the larger amount of funds went not even to the outcome that was most likely, then such a strategy is likely to work.
Conclusion
There is one rule for playing this strategy: the fewer players make bets in the draw, the higher the probability that the pool will be distributed "wrong"
on the outcomes. Therefore, this strategy will work better in those offices that have just launched the "Exact score" sweepstakes and where there is not
such a large influx of bettors.
Edited by blana on 08 May 2019 at 13:08
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tomat
Matrose
Joined: 11 May 2019
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| Posted: 11 May 2019 at 13:10 | IP Logged
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it seems to me that it is very difficult to predict the
score of the match in football. therefore, it is very
difficult to make the right bet. I think it is much
easier to win if you put on the handicap of the team.
however the coefficient is not large. but there is a
chance of winning.
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malenka
Matrose
Joined: 10 May 2019
Location: Australia
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| Posted: 12 May 2019 at 15:49 | IP Logged
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More recently, sports betting fans had to cut out free
time to visit the offices of bookmakers. But thanks to
the progress and the introduction of the Internet into
everyday life, it has become much easier to bid, because
now you can not leave your home chair or workplace. It
is enough to have internet access to go to the best
online bookmaker offices.
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tomat
Matrose
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| Posted: 16 May 2019 at 10:28 | IP Logged
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of course now you can play online casino using any
device. you want to use a computer, you want to use a
mobile phone. but it is very important to use the right
strategies when betting. keep track of the teams and the
physical shape of the players. all this will allow you
to make a winning bet.
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Gassa
Matrose
Joined: 16 May 2019
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| Posted: 16 May 2019 at 12:28 | IP Logged
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It is in the betting bookies that there is no point in
playing against their players, they will receive their
income in any situation. They get the winnings only
because they put margins in the coefficients. In the
sweepstakes, the source of income from bookmakers is
completely different than the usual line.
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malenka
Matrose
Joined: 10 May 2019
Location: Australia
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| Posted: 25 May 2019 at 16:07 | IP Logged
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that's right Bookmakers give analytics on games.
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ramualfa
Matrose
Joined: 26 May 2019
Location: United States
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Posts: 9
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| Posted: 26 May 2019 at 08:48 | IP Logged
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With the advent of IT technology, many issues have
become easier to solve.
If you make bets, you understand that information and
game analytics are important. There is a Nigerian site
https://777score.ng/
where all the world championships in football and tennis
and hockey are collected. The site has statistics on
games held and balls scored (pucks), team activity. With
this information you can bet and win
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jiuer7845
Matrosen-Obergefreiter
Joined: 05 September 2018
Location: United States
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Posts: 75
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| Posted: 11 August 2021 at 11:15 | IP Logged
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Topic: Strategy game for totalizator - correct s
